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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Unknown School0.61+1.67vs Predicted
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2Unknown School0.72+0.58vs Predicted
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3Unknown School0.06+0.50vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria-0.30-0.03vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland0.27-1.83vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-1.70-0.34vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-2.71-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67Unknown School0.6126.2%1st Place
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2.58Unknown School0.7228.6%1st Place
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3.5Unknown School0.0614.1%1st Place
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3.97University of Victoria-0.3010.0%1st Place
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3.17University of Maryland0.2717.9%1st Place
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5.66Unknown School-1.701.8%1st Place
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6.46Unknown School-2.711.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maggie Rickman | 26.2% | 23.6% | 21.4% | 16.9% | 9.2% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Mathieu Graham | 28.6% | 24.6% | 20.8% | 14.8% | 9.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Nicola Fretenburg | 14.1% | 16.6% | 17.8% | 19.5% | 21.6% | 9.3% | 1.1% |
| Ethan Lowenthal | 10.0% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 19.7% | 27.4% | 14.3% | 2.8% |
| Connor Smith | 17.9% | 18.6% | 20.1% | 21.4% | 16.6% | 5.0% | 0.4% |
| Kai Filmer | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 11.8% | 48.6% | 24.4% |
| Tobermory Smith | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 18.4% | 71.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.