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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.21+4.59vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.53+2.77vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.82+3.70vs Predicted
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4Hampton University3.02-0.40vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.74-0.82vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.16-0.37vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.77-0.32vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.75+1.36vs Predicted
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9Florida State University1.69-1.93vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University0.36+0.27vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology1.58-3.87vs Predicted
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12University of Notre Dame1.24-3.62vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-0.33-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.59Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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4.77Jacksonville University2.530.1%1st Place
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6.7University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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3.6Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
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4.18Eckerd College2.740.2%1st Place
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5.63University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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6.68Eckerd College1.770.1%1st Place
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9.36Salve Regina University0.750.0%1st Place
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7.07Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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10.27Northwestern University0.360.0%1st Place
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7.13Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.0%1st Place
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8.38University of Notre Dame1.240.0%1st Place
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11.63North Carolina State University-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Beaulieu | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Jack Gower | 12.8% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Magno | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 22.3% | 18.5% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Geoffrey Nelson | 17.0% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Preston Senior | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Hana Zwick | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Allison DeLuca | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 16.6% | 21.5% | 10.3% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Margot Murray | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 25.7% | 22.9% |
| Conner Killham | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Kevin Gallagher | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 5.0% |
| Andrew Edwards | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 18.0% | 55.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.