Race 4A

eckerd-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Geoffrey Nelson 15.5% 16.0% 13.7% 12.3% 12.1% 10.1% 7.4% 5.8% 3.7% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Sean Beaulieu 8.5% 9.5% 11.6% 10.4% 10.2% 10.9% 10.0% 8.9% 8.6% 5.7% 3.5% 1.7% 0.5%
Maximilian Kuester 21.8% 18.4% 14.2% 12.8% 10.1% 9.0% 6.1% 4.7% 1.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeffrey Hayden 4.2% 6.7% 6.6% 7.6% 8.3% 8.0% 10.5% 10.2% 11.2% 9.8% 10.5% 5.0% 1.4%
Hana Zwick 6.3% 5.9% 7.5% 9.4% 8.6% 8.0% 8.8% 10.2% 11.2% 11.1% 7.1% 4.5% 1.4%
Jack Gower 13.7% 14.5% 12.4% 12.5% 11.1% 9.6% 8.2% 6.8% 5.1% 4.4% 1.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Margot Murray 1.9% 2.0% 2.1% 2.0% 3.0% 3.5% 3.8% 4.8% 5.7% 9.1% 13.9% 26.5% 21.7%
Allison DeLuca 1.8% 3.3% 2.7% 2.7% 3.7% 3.6% 5.4% 6.1% 10.3% 10.8% 19.2% 19.0% 11.4%
Kyle Magno 6.9% 5.8% 7.9% 7.5% 9.2% 8.8% 10.1% 10.4% 9.2% 11.6% 6.3% 5.0% 1.3%
Preston Senior 10.1% 9.0% 10.5% 9.8% 9.7% 11.1% 9.1% 9.1% 8.3% 6.7% 4.7% 1.8% 0.1%
Conner Killham 5.4% 5.0% 6.3% 7.7% 6.5% 9.2% 10.5% 10.7% 10.4% 10.9% 9.8% 5.6% 2.0%
Andrew Edwards 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 1.3% 1.1% 2.1% 1.8% 2.1% 4.3% 5.1% 7.1% 17.1% 56.1%
Kevin Gallagher 3.3% 3.2% 3.9% 4.0% 6.4% 6.1% 8.3% 10.2% 10.3% 11.7% 15.7% 12.8% 4.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.