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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.53+3.65vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.77+4.65vs Predicted
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3Hampton University3.02+0.49vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.21+1.46vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology1.58+2.03vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.75+3.27vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.82-0.63vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.74-3.96vs Predicted
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9Florida State University1.69-2.10vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.53-2.79vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.36-0.91vs Predicted
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12University of Notre Dame1.24-3.77vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-0.33-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.65Jacksonville University2.530.1%1st Place
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6.65Eckerd College1.770.1%1st Place
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3.49Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
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5.46Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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7.03Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.1%1st Place
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9.27Salve Regina University0.750.0%1st Place
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6.37University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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4.04Eckerd College2.740.2%1st Place
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6.9Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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7.21University of South Florida1.530.1%1st Place
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10.09Northwestern University0.360.0%1st Place
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8.23University of Notre Dame1.240.0%1st Place
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11.61North Carolina State University-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Gower | 14.0% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Hana Zwick | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 22.0% | 19.2% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Conner Killham | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 2.0% |
| Allison DeLuca | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 20.5% | 10.5% |
| Kyle Magno | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Geoffrey Nelson | 17.9% | 16.7% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 1.1% |
| Christian Koules | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 2.4% |
| Margot Murray | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 16.0% | 22.7% | 20.9% |
| Kevin Gallagher | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 4.8% |
| Andrew Edwards | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 17.0% | 55.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.