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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+2.65vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.16+3.74vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.53+1.77vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology1.58+3.34vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.74-0.81vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.21-0.49vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.36+3.13vs Predicted
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8Florida State University1.69-1.09vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.77-2.13vs Predicted
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10University of Miami1.82-3.36vs Predicted
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11University of Notre Dame1.24-2.93vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.75-2.43vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-0.33-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
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5.74University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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4.77Jacksonville University2.530.1%1st Place
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7.34Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.0%1st Place
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4.19Eckerd College2.740.2%1st Place
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5.51Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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10.13Northwestern University0.360.0%1st Place
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6.91Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.87Eckerd College1.770.1%1st Place
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6.64University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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8.07University of Notre Dame1.240.0%1st Place
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9.57Salve Regina University0.750.0%1st Place
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11.61North Carolina State University-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 21.6% | 17.1% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Preston Senior | 8.7% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Jack Gower | 11.8% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Conner Killham | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 1.8% |
| Geoffrey Nelson | 16.0% | 18.5% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Margot Murray | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 13.3% | 27.0% | 21.1% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Hana Zwick | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Kyle Magno | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Kevin Gallagher | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 4.5% |
| Allison DeLuca | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 22.8% | 12.2% |
| Andrew Edwards | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 17.0% | 54.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.