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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.16+4.70vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.53+2.76vs Predicted
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3Hampton University3.02+0.57vs Predicted
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4Florida State University1.69+3.03vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.21+0.51vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame1.24+2.15vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.77-0.34vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology1.58-0.77vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University0.36+1.31vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.74-5.76vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University-0.33+0.46vs Predicted
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12University of Miami1.82-5.19vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.75-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.7University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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4.76Jacksonville University2.530.1%1st Place
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3.57Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
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7.03Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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5.51Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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8.15University of Notre Dame1.240.0%1st Place
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6.66Eckerd College1.770.1%1st Place
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7.23Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.1%1st Place
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10.31Northwestern University0.360.0%1st Place
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4.24Eckerd College2.740.2%1st Place
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11.46North Carolina State University-0.330.0%1st Place
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6.81University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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9.57Salve Regina University0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Senior | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Jack Gower | 11.9% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 22.4% | 17.4% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Kevin Gallagher | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 5.5% |
| Hana Zwick | 7.5% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Conner Killham | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
| Margot Murray | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 16.3% | 24.8% | 24.1% |
| Geoffrey Nelson | 16.6% | 14.7% | 17.8% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Edwards | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 19.0% | 50.3% |
| Kyle Magno | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Allison DeLuca | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 19.0% | 19.8% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.