← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jack Gower 13.3% 12.2% 12.3% 11.5% 12.5% 10.6% 8.8% 7.7% 5.6% 3.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Kyle Magno 5.9% 6.8% 8.4% 8.0% 7.4% 10.2% 10.2% 11.3% 10.2% 9.3% 7.2% 4.1% 1.0%
Jeffrey Hayden 4.6% 5.4% 6.5% 7.9% 8.9% 8.8% 9.1% 10.8% 10.7% 12.4% 8.4% 5.3% 1.2%
Maximilian Kuester 21.3% 19.0% 15.8% 12.5% 10.0% 7.6% 5.9% 4.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Kevin Gallagher 4.0% 4.1% 4.2% 5.2% 7.4% 5.6% 7.6% 8.0% 10.1% 13.3% 15.4% 11.6% 3.5%
Geoffrey Nelson 16.3% 17.0% 14.8% 11.0% 11.0% 10.1% 6.3% 6.3% 3.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Hana Zwick 6.9% 7.6% 7.6% 8.0% 6.1% 8.8% 10.3% 10.5% 10.7% 9.7% 8.2% 4.6% 1.0%
Margot Murray 1.2% 2.2% 1.6% 3.0% 2.6% 3.0% 3.1% 4.3% 7.3% 10.0% 13.9% 25.2% 22.6%
Preston Senior 8.7% 8.2% 9.1% 11.1% 9.1% 11.7% 11.7% 9.5% 7.4% 6.1% 4.9% 2.3% 0.2%
Sean Beaulieu 10.2% 9.6% 9.8% 10.9% 11.5% 10.0% 9.6% 8.4% 8.1% 5.2% 4.3% 2.2% 0.2%
Conner Killham 5.4% 5.3% 6.9% 6.5% 8.6% 7.6% 9.5% 11.4% 11.2% 9.6% 10.4% 5.3% 2.3%
Andrew Edwards 0.5% 0.9% 0.5% 0.8% 2.2% 1.2% 1.6% 2.0% 4.5% 5.6% 8.8% 16.0% 55.4%
Allison DeLuca 1.7% 1.7% 2.5% 3.6% 2.7% 4.8% 6.3% 5.5% 8.3% 11.8% 16.0% 22.5% 12.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.