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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.53+3.78vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.82+4.63vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.69+4.06vs Predicted
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4Hampton University3.02-0.38vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame1.24+3.11vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.74-1.82vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.77-0.32vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.36+2.24vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.16-3.18vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.21-4.45vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology1.58-3.86vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-0.33-0.42vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.75-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.78Jacksonville University2.530.1%1st Place
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6.63University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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7.06Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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3.62Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
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8.11University of Notre Dame1.240.0%1st Place
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4.18Eckerd College2.740.2%1st Place
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6.68Eckerd College1.770.1%1st Place
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10.24Northwestern University0.360.0%1st Place
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5.82University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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5.55Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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7.14Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.1%1st Place
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11.58North Carolina State University-0.330.0%1st Place
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9.6Salve Regina University0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Gower | 13.3% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 21.3% | 19.0% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gallagher | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 3.5% |
| Geoffrey Nelson | 16.3% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hana Zwick | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Margot Murray | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 25.2% | 22.6% |
| Preston Senior | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Conner Killham | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Andrew Edwards | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 16.0% | 55.4% |
| Allison DeLuca | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 22.5% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.