Race 10A

eckerd-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Geoffrey Nelson 16.8% 14.4% 14.7% 11.9% 11.2% 9.4% 8.8% 6.2% 3.2% 2.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Maximilian Kuester 21.0% 19.3% 14.8% 13.0% 10.9% 7.4% 6.8% 3.0% 2.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Gower 11.9% 12.6% 13.6% 12.4% 10.5% 11.2% 9.4% 7.6% 5.2% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Conner Killham 4.4% 5.3% 5.5% 6.5% 8.1% 8.8% 8.7% 10.8% 10.7% 12.1% 11.0% 6.3% 1.8%
Kyle Magno 6.4% 7.1% 7.1% 10.4% 8.2% 7.8% 9.5% 9.7% 12.6% 9.2% 7.5% 3.4% 1.1%
Preston Senior 9.5% 9.6% 10.2% 9.1% 11.2% 11.3% 10.3% 7.8% 8.0% 6.5% 5.0% 1.3% 0.2%
Kevin Gallagher 4.9% 3.1% 5.9% 4.2% 5.7% 6.8% 6.8% 8.6% 10.9% 14.0% 14.2% 11.0% 3.9%
Allison DeLuca 1.7% 2.8% 3.7% 2.5% 3.7% 4.3% 4.2% 7.4% 10.2% 10.1% 17.7% 21.7% 10.0%
Jeffrey Hayden 5.5% 6.2% 4.9% 8.3% 7.4% 8.4% 10.0% 12.5% 9.2% 11.8% 8.0% 5.9% 1.9%
Hana Zwick 6.9% 6.6% 6.0% 7.6% 9.5% 8.7% 10.2% 9.6% 11.0% 10.0% 7.9% 4.1% 1.9%
Sean Beaulieu 9.4% 10.6% 11.3% 11.3% 9.9% 11.0% 9.7% 9.5% 7.5% 5.3% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4%
Margot Murray 0.9% 1.6% 1.8% 2.1% 2.1% 3.7% 3.9% 4.8% 6.7% 8.9% 14.2% 24.3% 25.0%
Andrew Edwards 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.7% 1.6% 1.2% 1.7% 2.5% 2.6% 5.1% 8.9% 20.1% 53.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.