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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+2.50vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.77+4.65vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.53+1.62vs Predicted
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4Florida State University1.69+2.87vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.82+1.44vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.17-0.55vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.21-1.61vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame1.24+0.05vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology1.58-1.76vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.16-4.43vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.36-0.87vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.75-2.51vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-0.33-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
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6.65Eckerd College1.770.1%1st Place
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4.62Jacksonville University2.530.1%1st Place
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6.87Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.44University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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5.45Eckerd College2.170.1%1st Place
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5.39Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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8.05University of Notre Dame1.240.0%1st Place
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7.24Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.1%1st Place
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5.57University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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10.13Northwestern University0.360.0%1st Place
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9.49Salve Regina University0.750.0%1st Place
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11.61North Carolina State University-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 23.1% | 19.4% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hana Zwick | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Jack Gower | 13.5% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| Kyle Magno | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Gallagher | 3.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 3.1% |
| Conner Killham | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 5.4% | 2.0% |
| Preston Senior | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Margot Murray | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 24.9% | 20.6% |
| Allison DeLuca | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 22.5% | 12.9% |
| Andrew Edwards | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 16.9% | 55.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.