Race 12A

eckerd-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jack Gower 14.1% 13.2% 12.8% 12.6% 10.5% 11.7% 8.5% 6.9% 4.4% 2.6% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2%
Allison DeLuca 2.7% 2.8% 2.3% 3.7% 3.7% 5.5% 4.4% 5.3% 8.1% 13.8% 17.2% 19.9% 10.6%
Maximilian Kuester 22.1% 19.4% 15.8% 13.5% 10.0% 7.5% 4.6% 4.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Ratcliff 10.2% 8.6% 11.5% 11.2% 9.5% 9.5% 11.0% 7.1% 8.7% 6.8% 3.4% 2.2% 0.3%
Jeffrey Hayden 6.5% 6.9% 6.4% 8.6% 9.1% 8.4% 7.8% 10.7% 10.9% 8.6% 9.6% 5.0% 1.5%
Sean Beaulieu 10.2% 11.6% 10.3% 11.5% 11.6% 9.5% 8.6% 8.6% 6.8% 5.2% 4.3% 1.7% 0.1%
Preston Senior 10.4% 10.7% 10.4% 8.5% 10.0% 10.6% 10.6% 9.4% 7.1% 6.6% 4.1% 1.4% 0.2%
Conner Killham 4.8% 7.1% 5.8% 7.5% 6.6% 7.9% 9.0% 11.6% 10.5% 12.0% 8.5% 7.0% 1.7%
Hana Zwick 6.1% 6.5% 7.5% 7.8% 7.8% 9.0% 11.1% 11.3% 10.0% 8.9% 7.8% 4.9% 1.3%
Kyle Magno 7.4% 7.2% 9.4% 6.3% 10.3% 9.1% 10.3% 8.4% 10.5% 8.4% 7.5% 3.7% 1.5%
Kevin Gallagher 3.2% 4.6% 5.3% 5.3% 7.1% 5.8% 9.0% 8.3% 12.0% 13.5% 11.5% 9.8% 4.6%
Margot Murray 1.4% 1.1% 1.7% 2.5% 1.9% 3.6% 4.2% 5.5% 6.4% 7.2% 14.6% 25.6% 24.3%
Andrew Edwards 0.9% 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 1.9% 1.9% 0.9% 2.4% 3.2% 5.5% 9.5% 18.0% 53.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.