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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Unknown School0.72+1.58vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria-0.30+1.97vs Predicted
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3Unknown School0.06+0.46vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland0.27-0.83vs Predicted
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5Unknown School0.61-2.31vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-2.71+0.49vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-1.70-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58Unknown School0.7229.2%1st Place
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3.97University of Victoria-0.309.6%1st Place
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3.46Unknown School0.0614.9%1st Place
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3.17University of Maryland0.2717.5%1st Place
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2.69Unknown School0.6125.8%1st Place
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6.49Unknown School-2.710.5%1st Place
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5.63Unknown School-1.702.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathieu Graham | 29.2% | 23.6% | 21.4% | 13.9% | 9.4% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Lowenthal | 9.6% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 19.8% | 27.3% | 15.8% | 1.9% |
| Nicola Fretenburg | 14.9% | 16.2% | 17.3% | 22.0% | 20.2% | 7.7% | 1.7% |
| Connor Smith | 17.5% | 19.4% | 19.9% | 20.7% | 16.7% | 5.5% | 0.3% |
| Maggie Rickman | 25.8% | 23.8% | 22.0% | 15.2% | 10.5% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Tobermory Smith | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 19.1% | 70.4% |
| Kai Filmer | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 11.5% | 47.0% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.