Race 3B

eckerd-interconference

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Filip Stevanovic 5.6% 4.6% 6.0% 7.1% 8.6% 8.6% 10.4% 10.9% 13.4% 11.5% 8.9% 4.0% 0.4%
Jennifer Killian 5.9% 7.8% 8.7% 7.8% 9.1% 11.2% 11.5% 11.0% 10.8% 9.1% 5.3% 1.6% 0.2%
Chase Burwell 22.3% 20.2% 14.3% 14.4% 10.7% 7.7% 4.5% 3.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Ewing 13.4% 13.9% 13.2% 13.1% 11.4% 11.6% 7.7% 6.6% 4.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.0% 0.2%
Mitchell Powell 6.9% 8.8% 7.5% 8.8% 10.1% 9.5% 10.1% 10.6% 11.7% 8.8% 5.2% 1.9% 0.1%
Ian Willoughby 13.0% 12.6% 13.4% 13.0% 12.1% 9.2% 7.6% 8.1% 5.6% 4.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Max Thompson 14.8% 13.3% 14.5% 11.8% 12.5% 9.6% 7.7% 7.0% 5.3% 2.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Caroline King 6.3% 7.9% 7.8% 9.3% 8.7% 9.4% 13.9% 11.1% 9.5% 9.3% 5.5% 1.2% 0.1%
Margaret MacCormack 6.2% 5.6% 7.8% 6.9% 7.9% 9.8% 11.9% 11.2% 11.2% 10.8% 7.8% 2.3% 0.6%
Leigh Collier 2.6% 2.7% 3.0% 2.7% 4.0% 5.1% 5.4% 8.1% 9.5% 15.8% 22.3% 14.0% 4.8%
Jonathan Atler 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 1.1% 1.3% 2.1% 3.5% 4.6% 10.1% 30.2% 45.1%
Leah Peluchiwski 2.1% 1.6% 3.2% 4.0% 3.3% 5.8% 6.9% 7.6% 11.1% 14.7% 21.8% 13.7% 4.2%
Will Brooks 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.8% 1.1% 1.4% 1.1% 1.8% 2.7% 4.9% 9.9% 30.7% 44.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.