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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.37+5.33vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.07+2.54vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.39+3.34vs Predicted
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4Hampton University1.08+3.12vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.59-1.66vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.99-1.27vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.25-0.44vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.39-1.81vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.08-4.42vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame0.37-1.21vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology0.27-2.06vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-1.36-0.13vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-1.17-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.33Florida State University1.370.1%1st Place
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4.54University of South Florida2.070.1%1st Place
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6.34Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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7.12Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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3.34Jacksonville University2.590.2%1st Place
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4.73Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
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6.56Eckerd College1.250.1%1st Place
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6.19Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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4.58University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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8.79University of Notre Dame0.370.0%1st Place
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8.94Georgia Institute of Technology0.270.0%1st Place
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11.87Northwestern University-1.360.0%1st Place
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11.66North Carolina State University-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Powell | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Scott Ewing | 14.2% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Chase Burwell | 24.7% | 20.0% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Willoughby | 13.0% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Caroline King | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Max Thompson | 12.9% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 22.1% | 12.0% | 3.9% |
| Leigh Collier | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 16.3% | 21.4% | 13.3% | 4.1% |
| Jonathan Atler | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 9.0% | 28.6% | 50.1% |
| Will Brooks | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 10.3% | 34.4% | 40.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.