Race 5B

eckerd-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jennifer Killian 6.5% 5.7% 9.5% 9.5% 8.9% 9.1% 11.8% 12.3% 11.5% 7.9% 5.1% 2.0% 0.2%
Chase Burwell 23.1% 18.5% 18.6% 11.7% 9.1% 7.9% 5.4% 3.2% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Ian Willoughby 9.9% 14.1% 12.6% 12.1% 12.4% 12.6% 8.7% 7.4% 5.6% 2.8% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Filip Stevanovic 4.7% 5.7% 5.1% 6.3% 9.2% 8.9% 10.0% 10.7% 12.2% 13.9% 8.9% 3.8% 0.6%
Scott Ewing 14.1% 13.7% 13.7% 11.8% 12.3% 8.6% 10.2% 7.1% 4.6% 2.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Caroline King 7.5% 7.2% 6.4% 10.0% 9.6% 10.3% 10.5% 11.3% 9.8% 9.7% 6.3% 1.3% 0.1%
Mitchell Powell 7.8% 7.9% 7.2% 8.3% 8.1% 11.1% 10.5% 11.7% 11.6% 9.2% 4.6% 1.5% 0.5%
Margaret MacCormack 6.4% 6.1% 6.7% 7.2% 10.3% 8.9% 11.0% 11.8% 12.1% 10.3% 6.6% 2.4% 0.2%
Leigh Collier 2.2% 2.5% 2.5% 4.4% 4.0% 3.2% 6.5% 6.5% 10.3% 15.9% 23.9% 14.7% 3.4%
Leah Peluchiwski 2.2% 2.8% 4.0% 3.8% 3.3% 5.9% 6.0% 7.8% 11.6% 16.1% 21.4% 11.1% 4.0%
Max Thompson 14.9% 15.0% 12.7% 13.6% 11.2% 11.1% 7.0% 7.2% 3.7% 2.6% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jonathan Atler 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 1.1% 1.4% 1.5% 2.9% 3.6% 8.6% 28.3% 50.3%
Will Brooks 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.8% 1.0% 1.3% 1.0% 1.5% 2.7% 4.4% 11.0% 34.3% 40.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.