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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.99+3.76vs Predicted
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2Hampton University1.08+5.10vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.08+1.59vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.07+0.58vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.25+1.60vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.39+0.21vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.59-3.56vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology0.27+0.99vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame0.37-0.17vs Predicted
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10Florida State University1.37-3.69vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.39-4.91vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-1.36-0.14vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-1.17-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.76Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
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7.1Hampton University1.080.1%1st Place
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4.59University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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4.58University of South Florida2.070.1%1st Place
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6.6Eckerd College1.250.1%1st Place
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6.21Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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3.44Jacksonville University2.590.2%1st Place
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8.99Georgia Institute of Technology0.270.0%1st Place
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8.83University of Notre Dame0.370.0%1st Place
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6.31Florida State University1.370.1%1st Place
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6.09Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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11.86Northwestern University-1.360.0%1st Place
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11.65North Carolina State University-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Willoughby | 12.5% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 5.2% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Max Thompson | 11.9% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Ewing | 14.4% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Jennifer Killian | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Chase Burwell | 22.3% | 19.5% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leigh Collier | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 16.5% | 24.1% | 12.8% | 3.7% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 12.0% | 17.6% | 20.3% | 14.5% | 2.3% |
| Mitchell Powell | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Caroline King | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Atler | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 8.3% | 27.8% | 50.8% |
| Will Brooks | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 10.8% | 33.0% | 41.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.