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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.08+6.14vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.59+1.47vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.07+1.61vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.25+2.62vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.08-0.51vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.39+0.22vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.99-2.26vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame0.37+0.77vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology0.27+0.03vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.39-3.74vs Predicted
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11Florida State University1.37-4.86vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-1.36-0.14vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-1.17-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.14Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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3.47Jacksonville University2.590.2%1st Place
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4.61University of South Florida2.070.1%1st Place
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6.62Eckerd College1.250.1%1st Place
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4.49University of Miami2.080.2%1st Place
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6.22Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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4.74Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
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8.77University of Notre Dame0.370.0%1st Place
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9.03Georgia Institute of Technology0.270.0%1st Place
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6.26Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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6.14Florida State University1.370.1%1st Place
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11.86Northwestern University-1.360.0%1st Place
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11.65North Carolina State University-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Stevanovic | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Chase Burwell | 22.3% | 19.3% | 17.3% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Ewing | 12.3% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Max Thompson | 15.1% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Killian | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Ian Willoughby | 13.3% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 16.9% | 22.4% | 10.8% | 3.1% |
| Leigh Collier | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 17.3% | 21.7% | 15.2% | 3.8% |
| Caroline King | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Mitchell Powell | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Atler | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 8.3% | 28.2% | 50.3% |
| Will Brooks | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 10.2% | 34.6% | 40.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.