← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Scott Ewing 14.1% 12.2% 12.9% 12.8% 12.7% 10.7% 8.7% 6.6% 5.3% 2.4% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Mitchell Powell 6.3% 7.3% 9.0% 8.0% 8.8% 10.6% 10.4% 11.7% 10.1% 9.3% 6.1% 1.9% 0.5%
Ian Willoughby 11.2% 13.2% 12.3% 14.4% 10.5% 11.1% 9.0% 8.4% 5.8% 2.2% 1.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Chase Burwell 23.1% 18.8% 15.8% 12.4% 10.9% 8.8% 6.1% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Caroline King 7.2% 8.4% 8.0% 8.7% 9.2% 9.7% 10.5% 12.4% 9.7% 8.9% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3%
Leigh Collier 1.8% 2.5% 3.9% 3.3% 4.0% 3.5% 7.7% 6.9% 9.6% 15.2% 23.5% 14.2% 3.9%
Jennifer Killian 7.9% 7.7% 9.0% 7.3% 10.2% 9.3% 10.5% 11.6% 11.0% 8.1% 5.8% 1.5% 0.1%
Margaret MacCormack 6.0% 7.6% 6.3% 7.5% 8.0% 9.6% 10.7% 11.6% 11.9% 12.6% 6.5% 1.6% 0.1%
Will Brooks 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 1.2% 1.5% 1.9% 1.3% 1.8% 3.0% 4.8% 8.8% 33.9% 40.1%
Max Thompson 15.0% 13.2% 14.3% 12.5% 11.3% 7.5% 9.6% 6.0% 5.7% 3.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Leah Peluchiwski 2.0% 2.6% 2.9% 4.7% 4.4% 6.8% 6.4% 9.1% 9.9% 15.3% 20.5% 11.3% 4.1%
Filip Stevanovic 4.4% 5.4% 5.0% 6.4% 7.4% 10.1% 7.8% 10.7% 13.9% 13.9% 10.8% 3.6% 0.6%
Jonathan Atler 0.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.8% 1.1% 0.4% 1.3% 1.1% 2.9% 3.6% 7.7% 29.9% 50.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.