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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.07+3.59vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.37+4.34vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.99+1.77vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.59-0.56vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.39+1.18vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology0.27+3.00vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.39-0.84vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.25-1.40vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-1.17+2.50vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.08-5.47vs Predicted
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11University of Notre Dame0.37-2.28vs Predicted
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12Hampton University1.08-4.73vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-1.36-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59University of South Florida2.070.1%1st Place
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6.34Florida State University1.370.1%1st Place
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4.77Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
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3.44Jacksonville University2.590.2%1st Place
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6.18Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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9.0Georgia Institute of Technology0.270.0%1st Place
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6.16Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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6.6Eckerd College1.250.1%1st Place
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11.5North Carolina State University-1.170.0%1st Place
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4.53University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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8.72University of Notre Dame0.370.0%1st Place
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7.27Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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11.89Northwestern University-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Ewing | 14.1% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powell | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Ian Willoughby | 11.2% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Chase Burwell | 23.1% | 18.8% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline King | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Leigh Collier | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 15.2% | 23.5% | 14.2% | 3.9% |
| Jennifer Killian | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 6.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Will Brooks | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 33.9% | 40.1% |
| Max Thompson | 15.0% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 15.3% | 20.5% | 11.3% | 4.1% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Jonathan Atler | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 7.7% | 29.9% | 50.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.