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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.86+2.18vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.18+2.17vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.61-0.09vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.07+0.37vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-0.46vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.85-1.84vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University0.54-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18Georgetown University1.8622.3%1st Place
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4.17U. S. Naval Academy1.1810.2%1st Place
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2.91Old Dominion University1.6125.3%1st Place
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4.37George Washington University1.0711.1%1st Place
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4.54St. Mary's College of Maryland0.6710.4%1st Place
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4.16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.8511.8%1st Place
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4.67Georgetown University0.548.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Bates | 22.3% | 20.3% | 17.3% | 15.6% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 5.1% |
| Ava Farley | 10.2% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 17.2% | 12.5% |
| Esther Ireland | 25.3% | 22.2% | 19.0% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 2.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 11.1% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 18.1% | 17.9% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 23.1% |
| Maisy Sperry | 11.8% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 14.3% |
| Alexa Shea | 8.8% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 17.1% | 25.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.