Race 1A

stony-brook-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
James Owen 21.6% 19.6% 16.4% 16.1% 12.1% 8.8% 4.3% 1.1% 0.1%
Calvin Marsh 18.4% 17.8% 18.1% 15.4% 13.2% 10.2% 5.2% 1.4% 0.2%
Elizabeth Frost 16.0% 15.3% 15.7% 15.6% 14.5% 12.4% 6.9% 3.2% 0.4%
Robert Finora 12.0% 12.6% 12.8% 14.8% 14.9% 15.2% 12.1% 5.0% 0.8%
Tucker Ballou 9.4% 9.5% 11.4% 11.6% 14.1% 17.7% 16.1% 8.8% 1.5%
Alan Becker 15.7% 17.0% 16.8% 15.4% 14.9% 12.0% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4%
Rose von Eckartsberg 2.9% 2.8% 3.8% 3.3% 5.9% 9.3% 18.1% 31.6% 22.2%
Sarra Salah 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.7% 2.9% 3.4% 7.7% 18.5% 62.5%
Alexandra Leen 2.9% 4.5% 3.9% 6.2% 7.3% 11.0% 23.6% 28.6% 11.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.