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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ian Willoughby 11.9% 12.7% 14.3% 11.6% 11.6% 10.4% 9.9% 8.1% 4.4% 2.8% 1.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Filip Stevanovic 4.4% 6.2% 5.7% 6.8% 8.3% 7.7% 10.7% 11.1% 12.8% 12.5% 8.8% 4.6% 0.4%
Chase Burwell 23.7% 18.8% 14.9% 14.3% 10.0% 7.2% 6.0% 3.1% 1.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jennifer Killian 6.7% 7.4% 7.9% 8.2% 10.0% 9.3% 10.8% 11.3% 10.4% 10.1% 6.0% 1.8% 0.1%
Mitchell Powell 7.2% 8.1% 7.3% 9.7% 8.8% 9.9% 9.1% 11.0% 12.6% 8.3% 6.3% 1.5% 0.2%
Margaret MacCormack 6.8% 6.1% 7.2% 7.3% 10.2% 9.7% 9.9% 10.8% 12.1% 10.3% 7.0% 2.5% 0.1%
Max Thompson 14.7% 12.8% 14.9% 11.6% 11.0% 11.2% 7.6% 7.7% 4.5% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Will Brooks 0.4% 0.8% 0.6% 0.8% 1.2% 1.5% 1.8% 2.6% 2.6% 4.0% 10.1% 34.1% 39.5%
Caroline King 7.3% 7.8% 7.1% 8.4% 8.0% 12.0% 10.4% 10.3% 9.7% 10.5% 7.3% 1.2% 0.0%
Leigh Collier 3.0% 2.6% 2.7% 3.1% 3.1% 4.8% 6.1% 7.1% 11.1% 15.2% 21.8% 14.8% 4.6%
Leah Peluchiwski 2.3% 2.6% 3.0% 4.3% 5.3% 4.7% 6.7% 8.6% 11.4% 16.1% 19.6% 11.4% 4.0%
Jonathan Atler 0.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.5% 1.1% 0.9% 1.0% 1.9% 2.5% 3.7% 9.2% 26.9% 51.1%
Scott Ewing 11.4% 13.3% 14.2% 13.4% 11.4% 10.7% 10.0% 6.4% 4.8% 3.1% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.