← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Eckerd College1.99+3.75vs Predicted
-
2Hampton University1.08+5.10vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University2.59+0.42vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University1.39+2.33vs Predicted
-
5Florida State University1.37+1.25vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College1.25+0.55vs Predicted
-
7University of Miami2.08-2.49vs Predicted
-
8North Carolina State University-1.17+3.53vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University1.39-2.68vs Predicted
-
10Georgia Institute of Technology0.27-0.98vs Predicted
-
11University of Notre Dame0.37-2.28vs Predicted
-
12Northwestern University-1.36-0.15vs Predicted
-
13University of South Florida2.07-8.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.75Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
-
7.1Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
-
3.42Jacksonville University2.590.2%1st Place
-
6.33Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
-
6.25Florida State University1.370.1%1st Place
-
6.55Eckerd College1.250.1%1st Place
-
4.51University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
-
11.53North Carolina State University-1.170.0%1st Place
-
6.32Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
-
9.02Georgia Institute of Technology0.270.0%1st Place
-
8.72University of Notre Dame0.370.0%1st Place
-
11.85Northwestern University-1.360.0%1st Place
-
4.65University of South Florida2.070.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Willoughby | 11.9% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 0.4% |
| Chase Burwell | 23.7% | 18.8% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Powell | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Max Thompson | 14.7% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Will Brooks | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 10.1% | 34.1% | 39.5% |
| Caroline King | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Leigh Collier | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 21.8% | 14.8% | 4.6% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 16.1% | 19.6% | 11.4% | 4.0% |
| Jonathan Atler | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 9.2% | 26.9% | 51.1% |
| Scott Ewing | 11.4% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.