Race 12B

eckerd-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Chase Burwell 22.0% 20.4% 16.5% 12.6% 10.3% 7.5% 5.4% 3.3% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Willoughby 11.3% 12.7% 13.1% 13.6% 11.7% 9.1% 10.7% 7.9% 4.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Leigh Collier 2.0% 1.2% 2.5% 3.5% 4.1% 5.0% 5.6% 7.5% 11.2% 15.7% 22.7% 15.0% 4.0%
Max Thompson 13.4% 13.4% 13.2% 12.7% 11.2% 11.1% 8.6% 8.0% 4.6% 2.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Filip Stevanovic 6.0% 5.0% 6.1% 6.2% 9.0% 8.7% 8.6% 10.9% 13.3% 12.5% 9.9% 3.1% 0.7%
Mitchell Powell 7.7% 7.6% 7.6% 8.5% 8.8% 11.0% 10.7% 9.8% 11.3% 9.2% 5.5% 2.1% 0.2%
Jennifer Killian 8.6% 7.0% 8.5% 8.9% 8.2% 10.0% 11.2% 10.5% 10.9% 9.5% 5.2% 1.5% 0.0%
Will Brooks 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 1.2% 0.5% 2.1% 1.9% 2.1% 2.8% 4.7% 11.3% 32.7% 38.9%
Leah Peluchiwski 2.5% 2.6% 3.8% 3.5% 4.0% 4.3% 5.5% 8.6% 10.0% 16.6% 21.2% 13.9% 3.5%
Margaret MacCormack 7.3% 5.8% 7.1% 7.6% 8.7% 9.1% 10.3% 11.5% 11.5% 11.1% 6.9% 2.7% 0.4%
Caroline King 6.5% 9.2% 7.7% 9.2% 10.2% 10.0% 11.3% 11.0% 11.2% 7.5% 4.4% 1.6% 0.2%
Scott Ewing 11.9% 13.9% 13.1% 11.9% 12.2% 11.2% 8.9% 7.7% 5.2% 2.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Jonathan Atler 0.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.6% 1.1% 0.9% 1.3% 1.2% 2.2% 4.6% 8.7% 26.4% 52.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.