← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

16.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.6
Avg Position Diff
36
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36
Andrew Clements 2.5% 2.3% 1.3% 2.6% 2.3% 2.4% 2.8% 2.0% 2.8% 3.8% 3.3% 3.7% 4.4% 3.3% 2.4% 4.2% 3.6% 4.5% 3.6% 4.4% 4.2% 4.6% 5.3% 4.2% 2.9% 2.8% 3.2% 2.1% 2.6% 1.6% 1.7% 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Laura Roudebush 6.0% 6.4% 6.5% 6.1% 6.6% 5.9% 6.0% 6.9% 5.8% 6.3% 5.4% 5.6% 4.5% 4.5% 3.0% 2.9% 2.3% 2.8% 2.1% 1.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Johannes McElvain 17.7% 15.9% 15.4% 11.8% 8.5% 7.7% 6.5% 4.9% 3.9% 2.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cameron Baxter 6.2% 6.8% 5.8% 6.8% 8.6% 5.9% 7.0% 5.8% 6.7% 5.8% 4.3% 5.9% 4.4% 3.9% 3.0% 2.6% 2.5% 1.4% 2.4% 1.5% 0.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Solomon 7.5% 7.5% 6.7% 8.2% 7.6% 5.9% 6.7% 6.6% 6.7% 5.7% 4.9% 5.1% 4.1% 3.2% 2.8% 2.2% 1.8% 2.1% 1.1% 1.1% 0.6% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
George Kripac 1.1% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 1.7% 1.4% 1.5% 1.3% 1.2% 2.1% 1.2% 1.8% 2.4% 2.5% 2.4% 3.3% 2.6% 2.1% 3.5% 2.5% 4.4% 3.5% 3.6% 3.4% 4.3% 4.6% 5.0% 5.4% 4.5% 5.7% 6.0% 4.1% 3.7% 2.7% 2.3% 0.0%
Josselyn Verutti 5.1% 4.2% 5.6% 4.2% 4.8% 5.3% 4.4% 6.9% 7.4% 6.2% 4.5% 3.8% 5.5% 3.7% 4.8% 4.8% 4.0% 4.0% 2.2% 2.5% 2.2% 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Henry Keenan 4.9% 5.8% 5.8% 7.8% 6.3% 4.7% 5.1% 5.4% 6.6% 5.5% 5.8% 6.1% 3.1% 4.5% 3.7% 3.0% 4.2% 3.6% 2.4% 1.4% 1.3% 0.9% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Toomey 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 2.8% 4.3% 4.4% 4.6% 3.7% 5.2% 4.5% 5.3% 4.2% 4.1% 4.1% 5.2% 3.7% 4.1% 4.3% 5.0% 3.4% 2.8% 2.5% 3.1% 2.7% 1.4% 1.6% 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ben Brough 6.4% 8.0% 6.8% 7.7% 6.8% 7.4% 6.9% 7.4% 4.9% 4.4% 4.9% 5.7% 4.6% 4.0% 3.6% 2.9% 2.0% 2.1% 0.9% 1.1% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Erika Barth 3.1% 3.2% 4.1% 3.4% 4.0% 4.6% 5.3% 3.9% 3.9% 4.9% 4.7% 4.6% 4.1% 4.5% 5.5% 4.3% 5.6% 4.5% 4.3% 3.4% 2.9% 2.4% 1.8% 1.6% 1.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kartikye Mittal 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 1.3% 1.2% 1.4% 1.5% 1.2% 2.5% 1.8% 2.0% 2.3% 2.0% 2.6% 2.7% 3.4% 3.4% 3.5% 4.5% 3.8% 3.4% 4.6% 4.2% 3.6% 6.0% 4.4% 4.6% 4.4% 3.5% 4.6% 3.8% 3.7% 3.1% 2.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Andrew Clements 2.5% 2.3% 1.3% 2.6% 2.3% 2.4% 2.8% 2.0% 2.8% 3.8% 3.3% 3.7% 4.4% 3.3% 2.4% 4.2% 3.6% 4.5% 3.6% 4.4% 4.2% 4.6% 5.3% 4.2% 2.9% 2.8% 3.2% 2.1% 2.6% 1.6% 1.7% 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Nicholas Lenz Lenz 3.3% 3.4% 3.2% 2.4% 2.6% 3.8% 3.4% 3.2% 3.6% 3.5% 3.7% 4.7% 5.0% 4.3% 5.1% 4.8% 5.5% 4.5% 5.4% 3.8% 2.8% 4.0% 2.8% 2.1% 2.6% 2.4% 1.1% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Holden Payne 9.6% 9.3% 8.5% 7.4% 7.2% 9.4% 6.0% 6.8% 5.5% 4.5% 5.0% 5.6% 4.0% 3.2% 2.3% 1.5% 1.3% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
McKenna Roonan 0.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 1.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 1.5% 1.3% 1.2% 0.8% 2.1% 1.6% 1.9% 1.6% 3.1% 3.4% 1.9% 2.6% 2.5% 4.3% 3.2% 3.8% 4.5% 4.3% 4.7% 5.1% 5.0% 6.7% 5.7% 6.9% 7.3% 6.8% 0.0%
Robert Johnson 1.2% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 1.2% 1.4% 2.0% 1.3% 0.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.7% 2.0% 2.4% 3.5% 2.6% 3.2% 2.7% 4.0% 4.4% 3.2% 3.9% 3.4% 6.1% 5.1% 4.6% 5.0% 5.4% 3.9% 4.5% 5.5% 3.5% 3.3% 0.0%
Kevin Gilland 4.2% 2.5% 3.9% 4.2% 3.2% 3.5% 2.9% 4.5% 4.6% 3.9% 5.6% 4.9% 3.6% 3.6% 4.4% 5.9% 5.4% 4.3% 4.1% 2.8% 3.2% 2.6% 2.8% 2.7% 1.9% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arjun Boddu 1.7% 1.7% 1.4% 1.7% 2.4% 2.5% 1.7% 2.7% 2.1% 2.4% 2.2% 2.5% 3.9% 3.0% 4.1% 3.1% 3.3% 3.8% 4.6% 4.2% 4.3% 4.9% 3.0% 4.5% 4.3% 3.9% 4.0% 3.2% 3.7% 3.1% 2.0% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Schmidt 2.4% 3.3% 2.8% 3.7% 3.4% 3.5% 3.3% 2.9% 3.0% 4.4% 3.9% 4.7% 3.6% 3.9% 5.1% 5.2% 4.0% 3.7% 4.5% 5.1% 2.8% 4.7% 3.3% 2.7% 2.8% 1.5% 2.1% 1.1% 0.9% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
James Melvin 1.9% 1.1% 1.6% 2.1% 2.8% 3.1% 3.0% 2.4% 2.8% 3.5% 3.1% 2.5% 4.2% 4.6% 5.4% 5.2% 3.4% 3.4% 4.3% 4.3% 3.9% 4.2% 4.3% 3.2% 4.1% 4.0% 2.9% 2.4% 2.0% 1.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Drake Baldwin 0.8% 1.8% 1.1% 1.7% 2.0% 1.7% 2.4% 1.4% 1.5% 2.6% 3.0% 2.7% 3.1% 3.2% 2.9% 2.8% 3.7% 4.2% 4.0% 5.6% 4.7% 3.9% 4.6% 5.6% 4.6% 4.2% 4.3% 3.5% 4.1% 2.3% 2.5% 1.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Thomas Rall 1.8% 1.7% 1.3% 2.3% 1.6% 2.2% 2.2% 2.7% 1.8% 2.6% 3.0% 2.6% 2.9% 3.9% 3.8% 2.6% 4.2% 4.2% 3.4% 4.8% 4.6% 4.7% 3.8% 3.6% 4.2% 4.5% 3.2% 4.0% 3.2% 2.8% 2.1% 1.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Thomas Garcia 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.6% 1.2% 1.0% 1.0% 1.4% 1.6% 1.4% 0.9% 1.2% 2.2% 1.7% 2.5% 3.1% 1.5% 2.2% 2.5% 2.8% 2.9% 3.8% 4.3% 4.3% 4.3% 4.4% 4.7% 5.3% 5.2% 6.5% 7.2% 5.5% 6.0% 4.7% 0.0%
Casey Bowers-Loeffler 0.6% 1.4% 1.4% 0.6% 1.0% 1.2% 2.2% 1.1% 2.5% 1.8% 2.0% 1.5% 2.6% 3.1% 2.1% 3.1% 2.9% 2.7% 2.0% 3.6% 4.0% 3.0% 4.3% 4.8% 4.5% 5.2% 5.7% 4.6% 3.9% 4.5% 4.9% 3.4% 3.9% 1.7% 2.2% 0.0%
Dallas Butler 0.7% 0.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 1.6% 0.8% 1.4% 2.1% 1.6% 1.8% 1.5% 1.9% 3.5% 2.7% 2.7% 3.3% 2.3% 3.5% 3.4% 4.4% 4.4% 3.8% 4.0% 5.0% 5.1% 5.5% 5.7% 5.3% 5.5% 4.6% 4.0% 3.0% 0.0%
Felix Slothower 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.5% 1.3% 1.7% 0.9% 1.8% 1.7% 1.8% 0.9% 3.0% 1.9% 2.2% 3.4% 2.5% 2.7% 2.8% 5.0% 3.7% 4.0% 5.3% 5.1% 6.4% 6.7% 7.0% 7.3% 6.6% 6.6% 0.0%
Mitchell Carroll 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 1.0% 1.8% 1.6% 1.2% 1.9% 1.5% 1.5% 1.7% 2.0% 2.8% 1.6% 2.0% 2.2% 2.3% 4.3% 5.0% 5.0% 4.4% 3.2% 4.3% 4.9% 4.6% 5.8% 6.0% 5.0% 4.2% 5.2% 3.7% 3.1% 1.9% 0.0%
David Gann 0.7% 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.6% 0.8% 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% 1.5% 1.1% 1.3% 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 1.6% 1.6% 2.1% 3.0% 2.6% 3.0% 3.8% 3.4% 3.9% 4.3% 3.3% 3.9% 5.1% 6.8% 5.6% 5.6% 7.5% 5.9% 6.4% 5.7% 0.0%
James Letchinger 1.2% 1.4% 2.2% 1.5% 1.2% 1.7% 1.7% 2.9% 2.5% 2.3% 3.9% 2.1% 2.8% 2.6% 3.0% 3.0% 3.7% 4.5% 3.2% 3.6% 3.7% 3.7% 5.2% 6.6% 4.7% 4.3% 4.0% 2.8% 3.6% 2.1% 2.4% 2.9% 1.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Clover Stubbert 0.2% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.9% 1.5% 0.7% 1.2% 1.1% 1.4% 0.7% 1.2% 2.4% 2.3% 1.6% 3.3% 2.6% 2.2% 2.9% 2.8% 5.2% 4.1% 6.1% 4.6% 8.0% 9.4% 12.4% 16.2% 0.0%
Gillian Dean 0.9% 1.3% 2.1% 1.2% 1.7% 1.2% 2.4% 0.9% 2.1% 1.6% 2.5% 2.5% 3.9% 3.3% 2.9% 3.4% 2.9% 3.5% 2.7% 5.5% 4.0% 4.6% 3.6% 5.2% 4.6% 4.3% 5.2% 4.5% 3.4% 3.7% 3.0% 2.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Irving Hui 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.7% 1.0% 0.9% 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.0% 1.0% 2.6% 1.6% 1.7% 2.9% 2.5% 2.0% 3.2% 4.2% 3.8% 4.8% 4.0% 4.3% 5.8% 5.4% 6.9% 8.9% 9.7% 13.8% 0.0%
Anthony El-Sokkary 0.4% 0.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 1.2% 1.4% 1.8% 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 1.4% 2.0% 1.9% 2.2% 3.3% 3.2% 2.6% 4.0% 4.3% 3.6% 4.6% 4.2% 6.0% 6.7% 9.1% 11.9% 15.5% 0.0%
Jack Kelly 0.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.9% 0.8% 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 1.6% 1.0% 0.9% 1.9% 1.9% 0.8% 2.3% 2.5% 3.0% 1.7% 2.9% 3.4% 3.3% 3.5% 3.5% 5.0% 4.8% 5.9% 7.6% 5.4% 8.0% 10.7% 11.8% 0.0%
Burak Kocal 0.3% 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.5% 1.2% 1.1% 0.9% 1.3% 1.2% 1.3% 1.6% 2.5% 1.4% 1.7% 2.6% 2.6% 3.3% 2.9% 2.6% 4.0% 3.6% 3.7% 3.0% 3.0% 4.9% 5.3% 5.7% 5.5% 6.2% 5.4% 6.6% 7.5% 3.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.