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📊 Prediction Accuracy
14.7%
Within 2 Positions
6.5
Avg Position Diff
34
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands0.15+15.94vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy2.60+2.13vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.78+4.12vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15+5.54vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.43+3.10vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+0.80vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.61+5.50vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.04+8.61vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.91+13.48vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara1.45-2.46vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-0.00+5.45vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara0.70-0.25vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.68+7.77vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz0.26+1.37vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley0.68-2.76vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego0.80-5.01vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60+3.42vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Barbara-0.64+2.19vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30+5.51vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-0.09-2.87vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-0.19-3.17vs Predicted
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23University of California at Irvine-1.02+1.16vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego-0.45-3.63vs Predicted
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25San Diego State University-0.25-5.73vs Predicted
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26University of California at Santa Cruz-1.03-1.55vs Predicted
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27University of California at San Diego-1.03-2.84vs Predicted
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28University of California at San Diego-0.60-6.69vs Predicted
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29University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-5.27vs Predicted
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30University of California at Berkeley-0.39-10.27vs Predicted
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31University of California at Davis-1.43-4.62vs Predicted
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32University of California at Santa Barbara-0.69-9.86vs Predicted
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33California State University Channel Islands0.15-16.06vs Predicted
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34University of California at Berkeley1.31-24.48vs Predicted
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35University of California at Berkeley1.53-26.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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16.94California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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4.13California Poly Maritime Academy2.600.2%1st Place
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7.12University of California at Berkeley1.780.1%1st Place
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10.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.0%1st Place
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9.1University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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7.8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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13.5University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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17.61University of California at Los Angeles-0.040.0%1st Place
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23.48University of California at Davis-0.910.0%1st Place
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8.54University of California at Santa Barbara1.450.1%1st Place
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17.45San Diego State University-0.000.0%1st Place
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12.75University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.0%1st Place
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21.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.680.0%1st Place
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16.37University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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13.24University of California at Berkeley0.680.0%1st Place
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11.99University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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21.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
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21.19University of California at Santa Barbara-0.640.0%1st Place
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25.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
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18.13University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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18.83University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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24.16University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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20.37University of California at San Diego-0.450.0%1st Place
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19.27San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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24.45University of California at Santa Cruz-1.030.0%1st Place
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24.16University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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21.31University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
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23.73University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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19.73University of California at Berkeley-0.390.0%1st Place
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26.38University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
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22.14University of California at Santa Barbara-0.690.0%1st Place
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16.94California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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9.52University of California at Berkeley1.310.1%1st Place
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8.33University of California at Berkeley1.530.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Clements | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Johannes McElvain | 21.8% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Holden Payne | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arjun Boddu | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Burak Kocal | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Baxter | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Rall | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Toomey | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dallas Butler | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gilland | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Carroll | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| George Kripac | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kelly | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Felix Slothower | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| Casey Bowers-Loeffler | 0.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| David Gann | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Kartikye Mittal | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 20.9% | 0.0% |
| Robert Johnson | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Henry Keenan | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.