← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
5.5
Avg Position Diff
34
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Berkeley1.31+8.66vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Berkeley1.53+6.28vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara1.45+5.77vs Predicted
-
4California Poly Maritime Academy2.60+0.25vs Predicted
-
5California State University Channel Islands0.15+11.80vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+1.84vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles1.43+1.73vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley1.78-2.03vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15+0.36vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Davis-0.91+12.21vs Predicted
-
12University of California at San Diego-0.45+8.47vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Los Angeles-0.04+4.62vs Predicted
-
14San Diego State University-0.25+4.99vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Berkeley0.68-1.34vs Predicted
-
16California State University Channel Islands0.15+0.80vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-1.00vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Davis-0.19+0.35vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Santa Barbara0.70-5.90vs Predicted
-
20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60+0.91vs Predicted
-
21San Diego State University-0.00-3.65vs Predicted
-
22University of California at Santa Barbara-0.64-0.19vs Predicted
-
23University of California at Los Angeles0.61-9.48vs Predicted
-
24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30+1.77vs Predicted
-
25University of California at Santa Cruz-1.03-1.03vs Predicted
-
26Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.68-3.82vs Predicted
-
27University of California at San Diego0.80-14.46vs Predicted
-
28University of California at Irvine-1.02-3.79vs Predicted
-
29University of California at San Diego-1.03-5.01vs Predicted
-
30University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-6.22vs Predicted
-
31University of California at Irvine-0.09-13.15vs Predicted
-
32University of California at San Diego-0.60-10.36vs Predicted
-
33University of California at Berkeley-0.39-12.79vs Predicted
-
34University of California at Davis-1.43-7.76vs Predicted
-
35University of California at Santa Barbara-0.69-13.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.66University of California at Berkeley1.310.1%1st Place
-
8.28University of California at Berkeley1.530.1%1st Place
-
8.77University of California at Santa Barbara1.450.1%1st Place
-
4.25California Poly Maritime Academy2.600.2%1st Place
-
16.8California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
-
7.84Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
-
8.73University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
-
6.97University of California at Berkeley1.780.1%1st Place
-
10.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.0%1st Place
-
23.21University of California at Davis-0.910.0%1st Place
-
20.47University of California at San Diego-0.450.0%1st Place
-
17.62University of California at Los Angeles-0.040.0%1st Place
-
18.99San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
-
13.66University of California at Berkeley0.680.0%1st Place
-
16.8California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
-
16.0University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
-
18.35University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
-
13.1University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.0%1st Place
-
20.91Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
-
17.35San Diego State University-0.000.0%1st Place
-
21.81University of California at Santa Barbara-0.640.0%1st Place
-
13.52University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
-
25.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
-
23.97University of California at Santa Cruz-1.030.0%1st Place
-
22.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.680.0%1st Place
-
12.54University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
-
24.21University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
-
23.99University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
-
23.78University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
-
17.85University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
-
21.64University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
-
20.21University of California at Berkeley-0.390.0%1st Place
-
26.24University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
-
21.99University of California at Santa Barbara-0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Keenan | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Baxter | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johannes McElvain | 20.8% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Holden Payne | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Burak Kocal | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Casey Bowers-Loeffler | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Arjun Boddu | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gilland | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mary Toomey | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Carroll | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Rall | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| George Kripac | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kelly | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| David Gann | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Dallas Butler | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Felix Slothower | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 1.0% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Kartikye Mittal | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 20.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Johnson | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.