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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University0.69+2.28vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13+2.43vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+4.00vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64-0.49vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College0.59-1.34vs Predicted
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6Columbia University0.44-2.19vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-1.04-0.54vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-0.10-3.21vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-2.27-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28Fordham University0.6921.1%1st Place
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4.43U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.1311.8%1st Place
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7.0SUNY Stony Brook-0.602.2%1st Place
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3.51U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.6418.4%1st Place
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3.66Hamilton College0.5918.0%1st Place
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3.81Columbia University0.4415.0%1st Place
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6.46SUNY Stony Brook-1.043.4%1st Place
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4.79Syracuse University-0.109.1%1st Place
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8.06U. S. Military Academy-2.271.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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James Owen | 21.1% | 19.2% | 17.6% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Robert Finora | 11.8% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 17.5% | 11.7% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
Rose von Eckartsberg | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 17.8% | 34.3% | 20.6% |
Calvin Marsh | 18.4% | 17.2% | 17.2% | 17.1% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
Alan Becker | 18.0% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
Elizabeth Frost | 15.0% | 16.1% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
Alexandra Leen | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 23.4% | 26.5% | 12.2% |
Tucker Ballou | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 8.4% | 2.1% |
Sarra Salah | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 8.3% | 17.3% | 62.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.