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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.6
Avg Position Diff
35
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands-0.97+21.11vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.66+4.54vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.38+15.03vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+4.78vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.92+4.94vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara0.58+5.92vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.71-0.79vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09+7.94vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.02+0.63vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.52+2.33vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands-0.97+11.11vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.12+2.92vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley1.36-4.92vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay0.14+0.96vs Predicted
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15California Poly Maritime Academy1.81-8.95vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.11+0.21vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz0.34-3.46vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara0.71-6.54vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Barbara0.56-6.66vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.69+0.27vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-0.92+0.48vs Predicted
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22University of California at Irvine-1.65+3.50vs Predicted
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23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.96-1.01vs Predicted
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24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.28-0.01vs Predicted
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26University of California at San Diego-1.35-1.45vs Predicted
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27University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-3.11vs Predicted
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28San Diego State University-0.99-5.75vs Predicted
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29University of California at Davis-0.43-10.41vs Predicted
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30University of California at Davis-1.73-3.49vs Predicted
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31University of California at Davis-2.22-2.25vs Predicted
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32University of California at Berkeley-0.64-12.19vs Predicted
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33University of California at San Diego-0.75-12.19vs Predicted
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34University of California at Los Angeles-1.57-8.33vs Predicted
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35University of California at Berkeley-1.43-10.52vs Predicted
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36California State University Monterey Bay-1.94-8.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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22.11California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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6.54University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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18.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.380.0%1st Place
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8.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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9.94University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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11.92University of California at Santa Barbara0.580.0%1st Place
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6.21University of California at Santa Barbara1.710.1%1st Place
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15.94University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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9.63University of California at Berkeley1.020.0%1st Place
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12.33University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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22.11California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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14.92University of California at Los Angeles0.120.0%1st Place
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8.08University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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14.96California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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6.05California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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16.21University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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13.54University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
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11.46University of California at Santa Barbara0.710.0%1st Place
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12.34University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.0%1st Place
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20.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.690.0%1st Place
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21.48University of California at Irvine-0.920.0%1st Place
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25.5University of California at Irvine-1.650.0%1st Place
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21.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.960.0%1st Place
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23.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.280.0%1st Place
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24.55University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
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23.89University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
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22.25San Diego State University-0.990.0%1st Place
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18.59University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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26.51University of California at Davis-1.730.0%1st Place
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28.75University of California at Davis-2.220.0%1st Place
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19.81University of California at Berkeley-0.640.0%1st Place
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20.81University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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25.67University of California at Los Angeles-1.570.0%1st Place
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24.48University of California at Berkeley-1.430.0%1st Place
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27.51California State University Monterey Bay-1.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gates | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 11.1% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shea Walker | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margot Mason | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sampson Reynolds | 12.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 10.9% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Rockwood | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Holbrook | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Kerman | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christian Parizea | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Brian Newcomer | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Millan Chaudhary | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Jack Johnson | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Mack | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Megan McGlothlin | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Weslow | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Treacy Kief | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Quattrucci | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 15.3% | 25.8% | 0.0% |
| Stuart Johnson | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mingyi Chen | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| Preston Weber | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Seale Jr. | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 18.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.