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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.2%
Within 2 Positions
5.8
Avg Position Diff
33
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+4.49vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles0.92+7.66vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+5.24vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands-0.97+16.88vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.36+2.68vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.66+0.41vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.02+1.96vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.38+9.49vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara0.71+2.14vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara0.58+1.87vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+0.85vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.64+6.95vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.75+6.75vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.71-8.10vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-0.97+5.88vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles0.52-3.84vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-1.25vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-1.73+7.01vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.35+4.15vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Cruz0.34-6.96vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.28+1.85vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-0.43-4.42vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-0.11-7.25vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles0.12-9.33vs Predicted
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25University of California at Irvine-0.92-4.35vs Predicted
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26Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.69-7.03vs Predicted
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27Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.96-5.77vs Predicted
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29University of California at Davis-2.22-1.80vs Predicted
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30University of California at Los Angeles-1.57-6.01vs Predicted
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31University of California at Berkeley-1.43-7.51vs Predicted
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32University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-9.80vs Predicted
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33San Diego State University-0.99-11.96vs Predicted
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34University of California at Irvine-1.65-9.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.49California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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9.66University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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8.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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20.88California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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7.68University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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6.41University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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8.96University of California at Berkeley1.020.1%1st Place
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17.49Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.380.0%1st Place
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11.14University of California at Santa Barbara0.710.0%1st Place
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11.87University of California at Santa Barbara0.580.0%1st Place
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11.85University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.0%1st Place
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18.95University of California at Berkeley-0.640.0%1st Place
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19.75University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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5.9University of California at Santa Barbara1.710.1%1st Place
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20.88California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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12.16University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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15.75University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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25.01University of California at Davis-1.730.0%1st Place
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23.15University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
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13.04University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
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22.85Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.280.0%1st Place
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17.58University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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15.75University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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14.67University of California at Los Angeles0.120.0%1st Place
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20.65University of California at Irvine-0.920.0%1st Place
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18.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.690.0%1st Place
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21.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.960.0%1st Place
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27.2University of California at Davis-2.220.0%1st Place
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23.99University of California at Los Angeles-1.570.0%1st Place
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23.49University of California at Berkeley-1.430.0%1st Place
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22.2University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
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21.04San Diego State University-0.990.0%1st Place
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25.0University of California at Irvine-1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Rohr | 14.0% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shea Walker | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Noah Rockwood | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margot Mason | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Holbrook | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stuart Johnson | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sampson Reynolds | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Treacy Kief | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Johnson | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Weslow | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Parizea | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| James Kerman | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Millan Chaudhary | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Quattrucci | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 14.8% | 29.9% | 0.0% |
| Mingyi Chen | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Preston Weber | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Mack | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan McGlothlin | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Brian Newcomer | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.