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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.3%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
33
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.66+5.11vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles0.92+7.64vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands-0.97+17.91vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.71+2.09vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.36+2.74vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.52+5.98vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+1.24vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara0.58+3.71vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.02+0.42vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy1.81-4.10vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+0.87vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-1.73+13.02vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.12+1.23vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.69+5.18vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.38+2.83vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz0.34-2.96vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-0.11-1.63vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-0.75+1.67vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine-0.92+1.73vs Predicted
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20University of California at Berkeley-0.64-0.93vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.28+1.60vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-0.43-4.20vs Predicted
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23University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-6.99vs Predicted
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25University of California at Santa Barbara0.71-14.25vs Predicted
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26University of California at Davis-2.22+1.07vs Predicted
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27University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-4.17vs Predicted
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28Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.96-7.20vs Predicted
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29University of California at Los Angeles-1.57-4.99vs Predicted
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30San Diego State University-0.99-8.94vs Predicted
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31University of California at San Diego-1.35-8.25vs Predicted
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32University of California at Irvine-1.65-7.35vs Predicted
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33University of California at Berkeley-1.43-9.08vs Predicted
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34California State University Channel Islands-0.97-13.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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9.64University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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20.91California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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6.09University of California at Santa Barbara1.710.1%1st Place
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7.74University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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11.98University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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8.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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11.71University of California at Santa Barbara0.580.0%1st Place
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9.42University of California at Berkeley1.020.1%1st Place
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5.9California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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11.87University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.0%1st Place
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25.02University of California at Davis-1.730.0%1st Place
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14.23University of California at Los Angeles0.120.0%1st Place
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19.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.690.0%1st Place
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17.83Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.380.0%1st Place
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13.04University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
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15.37University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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19.67University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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20.73University of California at Irvine-0.920.0%1st Place
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19.07University of California at Berkeley-0.640.0%1st Place
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22.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.280.0%1st Place
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17.8University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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16.01University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.75University of California at Santa Barbara0.710.0%1st Place
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27.07University of California at Davis-2.220.0%1st Place
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22.83University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
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20.8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.960.0%1st Place
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24.01University of California at Los Angeles-1.570.0%1st Place
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21.06San Diego State University-0.990.0%1st Place
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22.75University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
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24.65University of California at Irvine-1.650.0%1st Place
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23.92University of California at Berkeley-1.430.0%1st Place
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20.91California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Hayes | 12.5% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Sampson Reynolds | 12.1% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 8.3% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margot Mason | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 11.8% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Holbrook | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Treacy Kief | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 15.9% | 0.0% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 2.3% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Kerman | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Shea Walker | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Christian Parizea | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Stuart Johnson | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Johnson | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Weslow | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Rockwood | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Quattrucci | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 28.5% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Mack | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Millan Chaudhary | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Mingyi Chen | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan McGlothlin | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Newcomer | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Preston Weber | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.