Race 3A

stony-brook-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Alan Becker 18.3% 16.6% 15.1% 15.3% 14.7% 11.7% 6.0% 2.1% 0.3%
Elizabeth Frost 15.8% 15.3% 16.5% 15.6% 14.0% 12.7% 6.8% 2.9% 0.4%
James Owen 21.2% 19.0% 17.5% 15.0% 12.8% 8.8% 4.2% 1.2% 0.1%
Calvin Marsh 17.1% 21.1% 16.8% 16.4% 12.0% 10.1% 4.9% 1.6% 0.1%
Tucker Ballou 8.1% 10.0% 10.0% 12.9% 14.0% 17.7% 16.7% 9.0% 1.8%
Robert Finora 13.3% 10.4% 13.0% 13.5% 15.8% 14.1% 13.0% 6.2% 0.8%
Rose von Eckartsberg 2.9% 2.9% 4.1% 4.5% 6.2% 8.5% 17.8% 31.9% 21.2%
Alexandra Leen 2.8% 3.8% 5.4% 5.0% 8.1% 12.8% 22.4% 27.3% 12.6%
Sarra Salah 0.5% 1.1% 1.6% 1.8% 2.5% 3.6% 8.3% 17.7% 62.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.