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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+4.01vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.76+2.06vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+2.18vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.14+1.46vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.76-1.05vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.14-0.59vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.16+0.72vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.44-3.32vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.59-2.30vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.56-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.01St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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4.06Georgetown University2.760.2%1st Place
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5.18University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.1%1st Place
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5.46U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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3.95George Washington University2.760.2%1st Place
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5.41Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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7.72Tulane University1.160.0%1st Place
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4.68University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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6.7University of South Florida1.590.1%1st Place
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6.82University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Ungar | 11.8% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% |
| Rose Edwards | 17.5% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Simone Staff | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 4.4% |
| Jessica McJones | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 5.8% |
| Riley Legault | 16.0% | 17.9% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 6.8% |
| Mary Berg | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 17.6% | 34.6% |
| Ava Esquier | 12.1% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| Delaney Brown | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 18.6% |
| Carolyn Keck | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 16.5% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.