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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.76+2.97vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+3.15vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.76+1.07vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.14+1.43vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.59+1.65vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-0.97vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.44-2.23vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.56-1.23vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.16-1.33vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.14-4.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97George Washington University2.760.2%1st Place
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5.15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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4.07Georgetown University2.760.2%1st Place
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5.43Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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6.65University of South Florida1.590.1%1st Place
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5.03University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.1%1st Place
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4.77University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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6.77University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
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7.67Tulane University1.160.0%1st Place
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5.49U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Legault | 18.9% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Ellie Ungar | 10.8% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 5.1% |
| Rose Edwards | 16.6% | 16.3% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 5.8% |
| Delaney Brown | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 18.1% |
| Simone Staff | 12.7% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 4.3% |
| Ava Esquier | 10.2% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 2.3% |
| Carolyn Keck | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 17.3% | 19.7% |
| Mary Berg | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 16.7% | 36.4% |
| Jessica McJones | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.