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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Riley Legault 17.8% 17.2% 13.6% 12.7% 11.8% 9.0% 7.0% 6.2% 3.2% 1.5%
Ellie Ungar 10.5% 10.1% 12.1% 11.8% 11.1% 11.0% 9.8% 9.9% 9.6% 4.1%
Olivia Windemuller 9.5% 8.8% 7.9% 10.5% 11.5% 10.9% 12.7% 11.8% 9.0% 7.4%
Simone Staff 9.9% 10.2% 12.1% 10.4% 12.7% 12.4% 9.8% 9.2% 9.5% 3.8%
Ava Esquier 12.7% 12.2% 11.9% 12.8% 11.5% 11.9% 10.1% 8.5% 5.1% 3.3%
Rose Edwards 17.9% 16.0% 16.2% 12.4% 10.5% 9.0% 8.3% 6.4% 2.2% 1.1%
Mary Berg 2.8% 3.0% 3.7% 5.1% 5.2% 6.4% 9.3% 11.2% 20.1% 33.2%
Jessica McJones 8.9% 10.8% 10.3% 8.8% 11.2% 12.0% 11.3% 11.7% 8.3% 6.7%
Delaney Brown 5.4% 5.9% 5.3% 8.2% 8.0% 8.9% 9.8% 12.8% 17.8% 17.9%
Carolyn Keck 4.6% 5.8% 6.9% 7.3% 6.5% 8.5% 11.9% 12.3% 15.2% 21.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.