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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.76+2.99vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+3.11vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.14+2.54vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+1.12vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.44-0.29vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.76-2.05vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.16+0.72vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.14-2.61vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.59-2.30vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.56-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99George Washington University2.760.2%1st Place
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5.11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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5.54Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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5.12University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.1%1st Place
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4.71University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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3.95Georgetown University2.760.2%1st Place
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7.72Tulane University1.160.0%1st Place
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5.39U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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6.7University of South Florida1.590.1%1st Place
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6.78University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Legault | 17.8% | 17.2% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Ellie Ungar | 10.5% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 4.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% |
| Simone Staff | 9.9% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 3.8% |
| Ava Esquier | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| Rose Edwards | 17.9% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Mary Berg | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 20.1% | 33.2% |
| Jessica McJones | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% |
| Delaney Brown | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 17.8% | 17.9% |
| Carolyn Keck | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 21.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.