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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.14+4.50vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+3.17vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.76+1.18vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.44+0.83vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.76-0.97vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.94-0.03vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.14-1.44vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.16-0.33vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-3.83vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.56-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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5.17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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4.18Georgetown University2.760.2%1st Place
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4.83University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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4.03George Washington University2.760.2%1st Place
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5.97University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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5.56U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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7.67Tulane University1.160.0%1st Place
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5.17University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.1%1st Place
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6.93University of Wisconsin1.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Windemuller | 9.5% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% |
| Ellie Ungar | 11.0% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 5.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 15.2% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 11.9% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 3.7% |
| Riley Legault | 17.0% | 16.9% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 11.9% |
| Jessica McJones | 7.1% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 7.8% |
| Mary Berg | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 17.4% | 35.6% |
| Simone Staff | 11.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Carolyn Keck | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 19.1% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.