Race 5A

odu-spring-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Rose Edwards 16.9% 16.5% 13.3% 13.4% 10.9% 10.7% 6.5% 5.6% 4.3% 1.9%
Riley Legault 17.3% 14.2% 15.0% 13.3% 11.8% 10.0% 6.2% 7.5% 3.8% 0.9%
Olivia Windemuller 8.9% 9.5% 8.4% 8.4% 11.5% 12.3% 11.1% 11.2% 10.4% 8.3%
Ellie Ungar 8.9% 11.7% 11.4% 10.0% 12.9% 11.7% 10.7% 9.0% 9.4% 4.3%
Kathryn Bornarth 8.6% 8.2% 7.2% 8.8% 9.4% 10.3% 10.9% 13.8% 12.6% 10.2%
Ava Esquier 13.0% 11.5% 12.9% 11.8% 11.8% 9.4% 10.1% 9.3% 7.2% 3.0%
Mary Berg 2.5% 3.4% 3.9% 4.5% 5.2% 6.4% 8.5% 11.3% 17.6% 36.7%
Jessica McJones 8.4% 9.7% 11.1% 9.8% 8.8% 12.4% 12.8% 10.0% 10.0% 7.0%
Simone Staff 11.0% 9.9% 10.4% 12.8% 10.4% 9.4% 12.3% 10.3% 8.3% 5.2%
Carolyn Keck 4.5% 5.4% 6.4% 7.2% 7.3% 7.4% 10.9% 12.0% 16.4% 22.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.