← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University2.76+3.09vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University2.14+3.58vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida1.94+3.08vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University2.76+0.07vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy2.14+0.48vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-0.92vs Predicted
-
7Tulane University1.16+0.80vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-2.90vs Predicted
-
9University of Pennsylvania2.44-4.16vs Predicted
-
10University of Wisconsin1.56-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.09George Washington University2.760.2%1st Place
-
5.58Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
-
6.08University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
-
4.07Georgetown University2.760.2%1st Place
-
5.48U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
-
5.08St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
-
7.8Tulane University1.160.0%1st Place
-
5.1University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.1%1st Place
-
4.84University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
-
6.89University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Legault | 16.4% | 16.6% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 7.6% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 11.2% |
| Rose Edwards | 16.0% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Jessica McJones | 10.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 5.8% |
| Ellie Ungar | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 4.8% |
| Mary Berg | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 17.7% | 36.7% |
| Simone Staff | 9.3% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 4.6% |
| Ava Esquier | 11.7% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Carolyn Keck | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 17.0% | 22.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.