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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Riley Legault 16.4% 16.6% 14.7% 13.1% 11.2% 8.6% 8.1% 5.7% 3.4% 2.2%
Olivia Windemuller 9.4% 8.3% 9.2% 10.5% 11.2% 10.4% 11.0% 11.0% 11.4% 7.6%
Kathryn Bornarth 7.6% 7.7% 7.3% 7.8% 7.9% 11.5% 12.2% 14.8% 12.0% 11.2%
Rose Edwards 16.0% 15.5% 15.3% 13.9% 12.5% 9.0% 7.3% 5.6% 3.3% 1.6%
Jessica McJones 10.5% 8.4% 9.3% 9.4% 10.0% 12.6% 11.8% 10.6% 11.6% 5.8%
Ellie Ungar 11.9% 10.5% 10.2% 11.3% 12.5% 10.0% 9.9% 10.9% 8.0% 4.8%
Mary Berg 2.7% 3.0% 4.2% 4.4% 5.1% 5.8% 8.7% 11.7% 17.7% 36.7%
Simone Staff 9.3% 12.8% 11.5% 9.5% 11.2% 13.3% 10.8% 8.0% 9.0% 4.6%
Ava Esquier 11.7% 11.6% 12.2% 13.7% 10.2% 10.5% 10.0% 10.3% 6.6% 3.2%
Carolyn Keck 4.5% 5.6% 6.1% 6.4% 8.2% 8.3% 10.2% 11.4% 17.0% 22.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.