Race 4A

stony-brook-fall-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Alan Becker 16.1% 16.6% 17.4% 16.2% 13.2% 11.5% 6.9% 1.8% 0.4%
Calvin Marsh 19.1% 19.1% 15.5% 14.9% 13.1% 10.5% 5.5% 2.1% 0.1%
Robert Finora 12.4% 12.4% 12.2% 12.8% 14.7% 14.1% 12.8% 7.0% 1.6%
James Owen 21.9% 18.4% 18.9% 14.6% 12.3% 7.8% 4.3% 1.4% 0.1%
Elizabeth Frost 15.3% 15.2% 15.8% 15.8% 14.1% 13.1% 7.8% 2.6% 0.4%
Rose von Eckartsberg 2.2% 3.1% 3.2% 5.2% 5.9% 10.0% 17.5% 30.9% 21.9%
Tucker Ballou 8.9% 10.3% 11.0% 12.3% 14.5% 17.2% 15.2% 9.0% 1.5%
Alexandra Leen 3.1% 3.5% 4.6% 6.0% 9.0% 12.6% 22.3% 26.6% 12.2%
Sarra Salah 0.9% 1.2% 1.3% 1.9% 3.2% 3.4% 7.8% 18.5% 61.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.