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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Rose Edwards 19.2% 16.4% 13.4% 10.9% 10.4% 10.4% 8.9% 5.5% 3.2% 1.7%
Ellie Ungar 10.2% 10.5% 11.9% 10.7% 10.6% 12.1% 9.3% 10.6% 8.1% 6.0%
Olivia Windemuller 8.8% 9.0% 8.4% 8.6% 10.1% 11.7% 12.4% 13.0% 10.5% 7.5%
Kathryn Bornarth 6.5% 6.8% 8.4% 11.0% 9.2% 9.9% 11.5% 13.9% 12.9% 9.9%
Riley Legault 16.9% 15.0% 15.3% 13.6% 12.0% 10.6% 5.9% 5.5% 3.7% 1.5%
Jessica McJones 10.0% 9.9% 8.0% 9.2% 11.9% 10.7% 11.3% 10.8% 11.3% 6.9%
Ava Esquier 10.6% 12.2% 12.5% 12.9% 12.7% 9.6% 11.2% 9.3% 6.3% 2.7%
Carolyn Keck 5.1% 5.2% 6.6% 7.5% 7.0% 8.0% 10.7% 11.5% 17.8% 20.6%
Mary Berg 3.5% 3.6% 4.3% 4.2% 5.0% 7.4% 8.2% 8.4% 17.0% 38.4%
Simone Staff 9.2% 11.4% 11.2% 11.4% 11.1% 9.6% 10.6% 11.5% 9.2% 4.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.