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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.76+3.02vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+3.18vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.14+2.67vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.94+2.02vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.76-0.96vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.14-0.50vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.44-2.18vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.56-1.19vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.16-1.29vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-4.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02Georgetown University2.760.2%1st Place
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5.18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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5.67Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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6.02University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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4.04George Washington University2.760.2%1st Place
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5.5U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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4.82University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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6.81University of Wisconsin1.560.1%1st Place
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7.71Tulane University1.160.0%1st Place
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5.21University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Edwards | 19.2% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Ellie Ungar | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 7.5% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 9.9% |
| Riley Legault | 16.9% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Jessica McJones | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 6.9% |
| Ava Esquier | 10.6% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 2.7% |
| Carolyn Keck | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 17.8% | 20.6% |
| Mary Berg | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 17.0% | 38.4% |
| Simone Staff | 9.2% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.