Race 8A

odu-spring-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ellie Ungar 10.7% 11.4% 11.1% 10.6% 11.0% 11.6% 10.9% 9.1% 7.3% 6.3%
Rose Edwards 16.6% 15.5% 12.5% 14.0% 12.1% 9.4% 8.8% 6.2% 3.8% 1.1%
Kathryn Bornarth 7.3% 6.9% 7.6% 8.7% 8.5% 9.3% 12.4% 14.5% 14.0% 10.8%
Ava Esquier 11.5% 11.9% 12.3% 12.5% 11.5% 12.2% 10.1% 7.9% 6.8% 3.3%
Carolyn Keck 5.8% 5.7% 5.9% 6.9% 7.2% 7.8% 9.2% 12.8% 18.7% 20.0%
Jessica McJones 11.1% 7.7% 9.7% 8.7% 12.2% 10.6% 10.2% 12.1% 11.3% 6.4%
Riley Legault 15.1% 16.7% 14.5% 13.7% 10.7% 11.9% 7.7% 5.8% 2.7% 1.2%
Olivia Windemuller 8.6% 10.2% 9.5% 11.1% 9.8% 11.5% 11.8% 9.0% 10.8% 7.7%
Mary Berg 3.6% 3.3% 3.8% 4.2% 5.5% 6.7% 7.7% 10.2% 17.5% 37.5%
Simone Staff 9.7% 10.7% 13.1% 9.6% 11.5% 9.0% 11.2% 12.4% 7.1% 5.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.