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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Riley Legault 18.6% 14.8% 15.4% 11.0% 10.5% 10.0% 8.1% 6.3% 3.8% 1.5%
Olivia Windemuller 9.1% 8.3% 10.3% 9.1% 10.8% 9.9% 12.7% 11.0% 11.6% 7.2%
Ellie Ungar 10.4% 9.6% 11.0% 9.2% 11.6% 12.2% 11.9% 10.5% 8.8% 4.8%
Rose Edwards 16.2% 17.3% 12.6% 13.1% 13.3% 9.5% 7.6% 5.5% 3.6% 1.3%
Kathryn Bornarth 8.0% 7.8% 8.2% 9.5% 7.8% 10.3% 11.9% 13.1% 13.0% 10.4%
Carolyn Keck 6.0% 5.4% 6.7% 5.9% 6.4% 8.5% 10.5% 12.9% 15.8% 21.9%
Jessica McJones 7.4% 9.1% 9.3% 12.1% 11.5% 11.6% 10.5% 12.3% 9.2% 7.0%
Ava Esquier 11.5% 13.5% 11.5% 12.4% 12.2% 11.5% 8.9% 7.2% 7.4% 3.9%
Mary Berg 3.4% 3.3% 3.8% 4.9% 6.0% 6.4% 8.3% 9.9% 17.1% 36.9%
Simone Staff 9.4% 10.9% 11.2% 12.8% 9.9% 10.1% 9.6% 11.3% 9.7% 5.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.