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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.76+3.07vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.14+3.60vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+2.25vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.76+0.07vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.94+0.96vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.56+0.81vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.14-1.46vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.44-3.22vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.16-1.30vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.07George Washington University2.760.2%1st Place
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5.6Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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5.25St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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4.07Georgetown University2.760.2%1st Place
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5.96University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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6.81University of Wisconsin1.560.1%1st Place
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5.54U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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4.78University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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7.7Tulane University1.160.0%1st Place
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5.22University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Legault | 18.6% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 7.2% |
| Ellie Ungar | 10.4% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 4.8% |
| Rose Edwards | 16.2% | 17.3% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 10.4% |
| Carolyn Keck | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 21.9% |
| Jessica McJones | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 11.5% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 3.9% |
| Mary Berg | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 17.1% | 36.9% |
| Simone Staff | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.