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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.19+3.38vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.35+2.13vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.16+1.56vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.13+2.80vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-0.40vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.56-2.36vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.91-1.96vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.51-2.08vs Predicted
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9Tulane University0.05-0.35vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania0.86-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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4.13George Washington University2.350.2%1st Place
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4.56University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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6.8University of California at Santa Barbara1.130.0%1st Place
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4.6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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3.64U. S. Naval Academy2.560.2%1st Place
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5.04Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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5.92University of Wisconsin1.510.1%1st Place
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8.65Tulane University0.050.0%1st Place
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7.28University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lola Bushnell | 15.0% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 15.5% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 13.6% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Julia Downey | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 16.7% | 20.5% | 12.4% |
| Jessica Bennett | 12.3% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Brittney Slook | 20.6% | 17.0% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Bridget Groble | 8.4% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 1.5% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 5.9% |
| Clementine Furber | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 10.1% | 16.1% | 55.1% |
| Raemie Ladner | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 24.8% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.