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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.19+3.43vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.51+4.06vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.16+1.62vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.13+2.89vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.35-0.87vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.56-2.31vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.91-1.90vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-3.38vs Predicted
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9Tulane University0.48-0.90vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania0.86-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.43Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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6.06University of Wisconsin1.510.1%1st Place
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4.62University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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6.89University of California at Santa Barbara1.130.0%1st Place
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4.13George Washington University2.350.2%1st Place
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3.69U. S. Naval Academy2.560.2%1st Place
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5.1Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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4.62St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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8.1Tulane University0.480.0%1st Place
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7.37University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lola Bushnell | 14.5% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 8.9% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 12.8% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Julia Downey | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 19.3% | 15.8% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 15.7% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Brittney Slook | 20.2% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Bridget Groble | 8.3% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 1.8% |
| Jessica Bennett | 11.7% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Catie Cullen | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 18.7% | 41.1% |
| Raemie Ladner | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 21.5% | 25.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.