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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.19+3.44vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.91+3.18vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.16+1.58vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.35+0.11vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.51+1.00vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.56-2.33vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-2.34vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania0.86-0.66vs Predicted
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9Tulane University0.48-0.87vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.13-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.44Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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5.18Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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4.58University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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4.11George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.0University of Wisconsin1.510.1%1st Place
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3.67U. S. Naval Academy2.560.2%1st Place
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4.66St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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7.34University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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8.13Tulane University0.480.0%1st Place
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6.88University of California at Santa Barbara1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lola Bushnell | 14.1% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Bridget Groble | 9.7% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 7.3% | 3.8% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 13.3% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 1.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 15.0% | 16.5% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 8.6% |
| Brittney Slook | 20.2% | 17.4% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Jessica Bennett | 10.8% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
| Raemie Ladner | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 20.3% | 23.9% |
| Catie Cullen | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 18.7% | 42.0% |
| Julia Downey | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 19.8% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.