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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.25+3.34vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.51+4.10vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.56+0.77vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.35+0.11vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.91+0.16vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.16-1.49vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-2.32vs Predicted
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8Tulane University0.48+0.05vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.13-2.14vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania0.86-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34Georgetown University2.250.1%1st Place
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6.1University of Wisconsin1.510.1%1st Place
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3.77U. S. Naval Academy2.560.2%1st Place
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4.11George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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5.16Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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4.51University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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4.68St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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8.05Tulane University0.480.0%1st Place
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6.86University of California at Santa Barbara1.130.0%1st Place
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7.42University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marley Mais | 14.9% | 15.4% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 7.4% | 4.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 9.3% |
| Brittney Slook | 17.9% | 18.0% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 14.5% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Bridget Groble | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 3.1% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 14.8% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Jessica Bennett | 10.1% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Catie Cullen | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 19.1% | 40.2% |
| Julia Downey | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 17.3% | 18.3% | 16.1% |
| Raemie Ladner | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 22.6% | 24.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.