Race 5A

stony-brook-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Calvin Marsh 19.4% 16.8% 18.6% 14.2% 14.3% 9.8% 4.5% 2.0% 0.3%
James Owen 20.2% 19.7% 18.1% 15.2% 13.7% 8.2% 3.5% 1.4% 0.1%
Alan Becker 16.8% 17.3% 16.0% 16.8% 12.4% 11.3% 6.9% 2.4% 0.2%
Alexandra Leen 3.8% 3.8% 4.2% 5.9% 7.0% 10.9% 23.8% 26.7% 13.9%
Robert Finora 11.6% 10.9% 11.9% 13.6% 17.0% 16.2% 11.8% 5.9% 1.1%
Elizabeth Frost 15.2% 17.8% 15.2% 16.1% 13.8% 11.6% 7.2% 2.9% 0.4%
Tucker Ballou 8.8% 9.7% 11.4% 12.2% 12.6% 18.2% 17.0% 8.3% 1.8%
Rose von Eckartsberg 2.6% 2.8% 3.5% 3.9% 6.8% 10.2% 17.5% 31.2% 21.6%
Sarra Salah 1.7% 1.3% 0.9% 2.2% 2.5% 3.6% 7.9% 19.2% 60.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.