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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+3.62vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.51+4.10vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.35+1.22vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.56-0.29vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.25-0.65vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.16-1.48vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.91-1.84vs Predicted
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8Tulane University0.48+0.04vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.13-2.14vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania0.86-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.62St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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6.1University of Wisconsin1.510.1%1st Place
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4.22George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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3.71U. S. Naval Academy2.560.2%1st Place
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4.35Georgetown University2.250.1%1st Place
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4.52University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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5.16Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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8.04Tulane University0.480.0%1st Place
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6.86University of California at Santa Barbara1.130.0%1st Place
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7.42University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica Bennett | 13.3% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 9.5% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 14.9% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 18.8% | 19.0% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Marley Mais | 14.0% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 14.4% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Bridget Groble | 7.7% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 2.8% |
| Catie Cullen | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 18.7% | 40.3% |
| Julia Downey | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 17.4% | 17.7% | 16.2% |
| Raemie Ladner | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 12.9% | 23.5% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.