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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+2.96vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.88+1.01vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.06+1.56vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.51+1.60vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-0.54vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.63-0.68vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.14-2.58vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.91-3.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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3.01U. S. Naval Academy2.880.3%1st Place
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4.56U. S. Naval Academy2.060.1%1st Place
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5.6Old Dominion University1.510.1%1st Place
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4.46St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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5.32Georgetown University1.630.1%1st Place
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4.42Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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4.67Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Ungar | 14.6% | 17.1% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% |
| Maxwell Brill | 25.9% | 21.5% | 17.3% | 14.2% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Sean Linden | 11.3% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 10.6% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 17.8% | 27.6% |
| Jessica Bennett | 10.8% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 9.2% |
| Jack Hogan | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 23.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 13.0% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 9.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.