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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.88+1.92vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+2.05vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.51+2.54vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.06+0.57vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-0.55vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.63-0.68vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.14-2.57vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.91-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92U. S. Naval Academy2.880.3%1st Place
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4.05St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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5.54Old Dominion University1.510.1%1st Place
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4.57U. S. Naval Academy2.060.1%1st Place
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4.45St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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5.32Georgetown University1.630.1%1st Place
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4.43Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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4.71Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Brill | 27.0% | 23.6% | 17.3% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Ellie Ungar | 14.3% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 5.3% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 19.4% | 26.5% |
| Sean Linden | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 9.8% |
| Jessica Bennett | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 8.3% |
| Jack Hogan | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 24.5% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 12.5% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 10.5% |
| Bridget Groble | 10.0% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.