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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.88+1.95vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.63+3.41vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.14+1.36vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+0.08vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.06-0.47vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.91-1.21vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.51-1.41vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-3.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95U. S. Naval Academy2.880.3%1st Place
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5.41Georgetown University1.630.1%1st Place
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4.36Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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4.08St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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4.53U. S. Naval Academy2.060.1%1st Place
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4.79Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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5.59Old Dominion University1.510.1%1st Place
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4.29St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Brill | 26.2% | 24.8% | 16.6% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Jack Hogan | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 17.6% | 22.6% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 12.1% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 8.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 14.0% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 5.9% |
| Sean Linden | 9.9% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 9.8% |
| Bridget Groble | 10.3% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 14.7% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 16.9% | 28.8% |
| Jessica Bennett | 12.9% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.