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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.88+1.91vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.14+2.34vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+1.43vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.91+0.86vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.06-0.44vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.63-0.68vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-2.90vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.51-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91U. S. Naval Academy2.880.3%1st Place
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4.34Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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4.43St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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4.86Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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4.56U. S. Naval Academy2.060.1%1st Place
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5.32Georgetown University1.630.1%1st Place
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4.1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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5.47Old Dominion University1.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Brill | 27.8% | 24.4% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 11.9% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 8.5% |
| Jessica Bennett | 11.8% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 9.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 9.2% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 14.3% |
| Sean Linden | 10.8% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 10.9% |
| Jack Hogan | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 24.1% |
| Ellie Ungar | 14.2% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 7.2% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 15.9% | 16.5% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.