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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.88+1.91vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.63+3.37vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+1.43vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.91+0.84vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-0.96vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.06-1.48vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.14-2.58vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.51-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91U. S. Naval Academy2.880.3%1st Place
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5.37Georgetown University1.630.1%1st Place
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4.43St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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4.84Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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4.04St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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4.52U. S. Naval Academy2.060.1%1st Place
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4.42Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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5.47Old Dominion University1.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Brill | 28.0% | 23.2% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Jack Hogan | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 15.6% | 17.8% | 21.9% |
| Jessica Bennett | 11.9% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 9.5% |
| Bridget Groble | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 15.9% | 13.9% |
| Ellie Ungar | 13.5% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 5.8% |
| Sean Linden | 11.7% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 11.7% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 12.4% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 10.2% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 25.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.